Claims tagged with "Forecasting"

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Mantic, a start-up whose A.I. engine outperforms many of the best human forecasters across domains from politics to sports to entertainment. 1.000

👤 The author 📋 Opinion Column 🏷️ AI , Forecasting

Simplified: Mantic's A.I. engine outperforms many of the best human forecasters across domains from politics to sports to entertainment

1 sources

1 month ago
Tara Sinclair, an economist at George Washington University who studies forecasting, agrees that is likely. 0.900

👤 The author 📋 News Article 🏷️ Economics , Forecasting

Simplified: Tara Sinclair an economist at George Washington University agrees that is likely

1 sources

1 month ago
On the quantitative questions that are his stock in trade, like forecasting changes to the Consumer Price Index and gross domestic product, Mr. Feroli suspects something else is going on: The betting... 0.850

👤 The author 📋 News Article 🏷️ Economics , Forecasting

Simplified: Betting markets are just following the experts on quantitative questions

1 sources

1 month ago
“Getting information from a large pool of people can be a remarkably good form of forecasting,” said Jonathan Wright, an economics professor at Johns Hopkins University who co-wrote the paper. 0.900

👤 Jonathan Wright 📋 News Article 🏷️ Economics , Forecasting

Simplified: Getting information from a large pool of people can be a good form of forecasting Jonathan Wright said

1 sources

1 month ago
Another working paper, by economists at the London Business School and Yale University, found that Polymarket bettors as a whole forecast corporate earnings more accurately than the analysts who are p... 0.950

👤 The author 📋 News Article 🏷️ Economics , Corporate Earnings , Forecasting

Simplified: Polymarket bettors forecast corporate earnings more accurately than analysts

1 sources

1 month ago