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“Getting information from a large pool of people can be a remarkably good form of forecasting,” said Jonathan Wright, an economics professor at Johns Hopkins University who co-wrote the paper.
- Simplified Text
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Getting information from a large pool of people can be a good form of forecasting Jonathan Wright said
- Confidence Score
- 0.900
- Claim Maker
- Jonathan Wright
- Context Type
- News Article
- Context Details
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{ "person": "Jonathan Wright", "affiliation": "Johns Hopkins University" } - Subject Tags
- UUID
- a1166096-141e-47cc-81c7-b0a304b23347
- Vector Index
- ✗ No vector
- Created
- February 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM (3 months ago)
- Last Updated
- February 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM (3 months ago)
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3 months ago
https://nytimes.com/2026/02/11/business/economy/forecasts-prediction-markets-economy.html
Prediction markets, where individuals bet on economic outcomes, are proving surprisingly accurate, sometimes outperforming professional forecasters. These markets offer insights into jobs reports, inflation, and interest rate decisions, prompting economists to take notice.
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