Claims tagged with "Prediction Markets"
View all claims tagged with "Prediction Markets"
Extracted Claims (19)
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Simplified: That’s where space for humans will remain1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: They work collaboratively but ultimately cast their own votes1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Artificial intelligence can synthesize large amounts of standardized information to come up with reasonably good estimates1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Warren Hatch thinks prediction markets complement his group’s services because they focus on shorter-term questions and expand use of probabilistic th...1 sources2 months ago
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When the data is sparse and the environment is in flux, machines are backward looking by definition. 0.900Simplified: When data is sparse and environment is in flux machines are backward looking by definition1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Right now senior economist has a ton of power1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Over past decade Good Judgment has developed model of selecting people with good track records of figuring out what will happen1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Neither individual experts nor collective of thousands are best at predicting future1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: If you were to do this you democratize decision making1 sources2 months ago
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Their view goes. 0.900Simplified: Their view goes1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Justin Wolfers has told Fed officials that they should take those markets into consideration1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Surprises happen people want to know what does this mean what’s going to happen what’s driving it1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Most forecasters aren’t worried because they do more than predict numbers1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: That’s a lot of nuanced important information that you’d want to have when you are making decisions as an operator in these markets1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: They would be making jobs of their contributors harder because they have individual sources of information to draw from1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: Every estimate comes with detailed analysis of factors which investors and companies need to figure out how to spend money1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: If they replace all of that they won’t have those to also go to1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: They have been hesitant1 sources2 months ago
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Simplified: If crowd were to supplant professional forecasters individual bettors would lose out1 sources2 months ago