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    "original_url": "https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/09\/23\/weather\/noreaster-storm-new-york-boston-rain.html?emc=edit_ufn_20260923&nl=from-the-times&segment_id=226963",
    "parsed_content": "AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENTSupported bySKIP ADVERTISEMENTA Powerful East Coast Storm Is Taking Shape. Here\u2019s How It Could Affect You.The forecast for this weekend became a lot clearer on Wednesday, but meteorologists warned that the storm\u2019s exact path was still uncertain.Listen \u00b7 5:34 min Share full articleA storm passed Washington, D.C., last month.Credit...Alex Kent\/The New York TimesBy Judson Jones and Nazaneen GhaffarWeather teamSept. 23, 2026Updated 4:04 p.m. ETSee more of our coverage in your search results.Encuentra m\u00e1s de nuestra cobertura en los resultados de b\u00fasqueda. Add The New York Times on GoogleAgrega The New York Times en Google A powerful storm that is expected to move up the East Coast this weekend was still organizing itself off the Carolinas on Wednesday afternoon. While the storm is expected to intensify between Thursday and Friday, forecasters warned that there was still significant uncertainty about its path and potential impacts.\u201cThe knowns are that there\u2019s going to be a strong storm off the New England northeast coast,\u201d said Bob Oravec, a senior meteorologist with the National Weather Service. \u201cThe only unknowns are the exact details of the track.\u201d\n \n \n \n Precipitation intensity Very lightHeavyExtreme Wed. at 5:59 p.m. Use Ctrl + scroll to zoom the mapUse two fingers to move the map200\u00a0mi A map showing recent precipitation intensity in the United States. Note: Times are Eastern. Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration via Iowa State University William B. Davis, Joel Eastwood and Bea Malsky\/The New York Times \n \n And that\u2019s a big unknown: if the storm tracks to the west, more rain will fall on the towns and cities between North Carolina and New England. If it tracks to the east, away from land, many of those cities will remain relatively dry. It was far too early on Wednesday for forecasters like Mr. Oravec to say with accuracy what would happen by the weekend, but the picture was beginning to come into focus.AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENTHere\u2019s what to knowCoastal flooding and erosion are the most certain threats, as the storm is developing during some of the highest tides of the month.Rainfall totals will depend largely on the storm\u2019s precise path, with coastal New England the most likely area to experience what meteorologists call \u201cexcessive\u201d rain this weekend.High winds will persist across areas at the coast through the end of the week.More storms may follow: This is likely the first of several East Coast storms to follow this path over the next few months, driven by a developing El Ni\u00f1o weather pattern.\n \n \n \n A soggy weekend ahead Select a city for the full forecast. Weather Saturday Sat.Sunday Sun.Monday Mon. Portland, Maine Light rain is likely 60% 40% Boston Rain is likely 70% 40% 15% New York Chance of rain 55% 30% Philadelphia Chance of rain 50% 15% 5% Washington Strong breeze 10% Updated Sept. 23 at 6:10 p.m. Eastern. Source: Tomorrow.io \n \n The Scenarios\u201cAt the moment, our forecast is still emphasizing eastern New England for the heaviest rain,\u201d Mr. Oravec said on Wednesday. \u201cThe heaviest rains will definitely be on the coast.\u201dAs the storm strengthens and moves north this week, the primary impacts are expected across eastern New England, particularly eastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod, Rhode Island and coastal Maine. Heavy rain is expected to concentrate along the coast, with lighter precipitation extending farther west into southern New England.Cape Cod and the islands offshore could receive five to seven inches of rain, and lower amounts are expected farther inland. Mr. Oravec cautioned that these totals could shift in the coming days depending on the storm\u2019s exact track.Farther south, coastal cities including New York City are expected to see some rain and wind, but nothing severe.AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENT\u201cThey\u2019re going to have windy conditions on Saturday and Sunday, but the worst conditions are definitely going to be east of them,\u201d Mr. Oravec said.As things stood on Wednesday, New York City was likely to receive very little rainfall \u2014 around an inch over a seven-day period \u2014 resulting in a prolonged, unpleasant spell of light rain and wind rather than a major weather event.How far west the storm tracks as it heads north will determine the extent of the effects. Some of the computer forecast models that meteorologists use to understand the breadth of possibilities indicated that the storm could loop back toward the west.If that happens, inland areas that were mostly dry initially could end up with more rain and longer-lasting effects. One outlier prediction even suggested stronger effects on New York City. Other scenarios keep the storm far enough offshore that significantly less rain would fall.Regardless of its path, the storm is expected to weaken gradually on Sunday and Monday. Because it is moving so slowly, however, weather in eastern New England could remain unsettled well into next week.AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENT\u201cEven though the storm weakens Sunday and Monday, it\u2019s slow to move out,\u201d Mr. Oravec said, adding that residents in eastern New England might not see the sun again until Tuesday.Coastal FloodingSome alerts were already in effect along coastal portions of the Eastern Seaboard, with more expected as the system moves north.\u201cIn the short term, the biggest impacts from tidal flooding are along the Mid-Atlantic coast,\u201d Mr. Oravec said. \u201cAs the storm starts cranking up, the winds are going to be blowing offshore along the Mid-Atlantic coast, but they\u2019ll be blowing onshore across coastal New England.\u201dSeas will also build significantly. Mr. Oravec said offshore wave heights could exceed 15 feet, while waves along the immediate coast could reach six to 10 feet.Is El Ni\u00f1o to Blame?Indirectly.You might have heard about the powerful El Ni\u00f1o that has been brewing this year. El Ni\u00f1o is a natural weather pattern that peaks in the winter, but it doesn\u2019t, by itself, cause one storm to grow strong or a heat wave to settle in.AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENTAs the seasons change and El Ni\u00f1o becomes the dominant global weather pattern, it has a tendency in winter to create patterns that push storms like this across the Southern United States and up the East Coast. Coastal towns between New York and Georgia routinely shatter high-tide flood records during El Ni\u00f1o years, not only during severe winter storms, but also on sunny days with no storm in sight.AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENT",
    "published_at": "2026-09-23T17:51:01+00:00",
    "author_name": "Judson Jones, Nazaneen Ghaffar",
    "site_name": "The New York Times",
    "section": "Weather",
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    "ai_headline": "A Powerful East Coast Storm Is Taking Shape. Here\u2019s How It Could Affect You.",
    "ai_simplified_title": "East Coast Storm Forecast Details Emerge Wednesday",
    "ai_excerpt": "A powerful East Coast storm is expected to intensify between Thursday and Friday, with significant uncertainty remaining about its exact path and impacts. Coastal flooding and erosion are the most certain threats, while rainfall totals will depend on the storm's precise track.",
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