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    "parsed_content": "AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENTYou have been granted access, use your keyboard to continue reading.OpinionSupported bySKIP ADVERTISEMENTGuest EssayRussia\u2019s Rulers Are In For a Nasty ShockAug. 5, 2025Credit...Pool photo by Yuri KochetkovListen to this article \u00b7 6:42 min Learn moreShare full articleBy Mikhail ZygarMr. Zygar is a Russian journalist and the author of the newsletter The Last Pioneer.President Trump has not scared the Russian elite. Last week he declared himself \u201cdisappointed\u201d with Vladimir Putin and imposed a shorter deadline \u2014 expiring this Friday \u2014 for an end to the war in Ukraine, threatening severe economic punishment if it was missed. In Moscow no one took it seriously. After weathering more than three years of sanctions, the Kremlin believes it can handle anything thrown at it \u2014 that\u2019s if Mr. Trump even follows through, which many in Moscow doubt.But there\u2019s a deeper reason for the dismissive response. Mr. Putin has, according to Kremlin insiders I talked to, concluded that negotiating with the United States makes no sense and that compromise is pointless. Hostility, not friendship, is the policy. The imminent visit to Moscow of America\u2019s envoy for peace missions, Steve Witkoff, won\u2019t change that. Mr. Trump might have soured on Mr. Putin, but Russia\u2019s president couldn\u2019t care less.Six months ago, things were very different. When Mr. Trump returned to the presidency, many in Moscow hoped that a thaw in U.S.-Russia relations might be possible. Along with friendly public remarks from both presidents and negotiations in Saudi Arabia, there were other encouraging signs of d\u00e9tente. Russian propagandists refrained from criticizing the new American administration or Mr. Trump personally, apparently under orders from the Kremlin. (President Emmanuel Macron of France became the main target of attacks instead.)Soon, American businessmen began showing up in Moscow, calling themselves sponsors of Mr. Trump\u2019s campaign. They claimed that sanctions would be lifted and even that the president still dreamed of building a Trump Tower in Moscow. The Russian officials and entrepreneurs I spoke to were wary, but they wanted to believe that peace was possible and that Mr. Trump might persuade Mr. Putin to end the war. It seemed as if the dream of renewed cooperation with America might come true.It quickly became clear that this was wishful thinking. Everyone now realizes that Mr. Putin has no desire to end the war, which remains his main tool for controlling society. Worse, he has lost faith in the very idea of reaching agreements with the United States. According to the people I talked to, his view is that any American administration, by definition, is temporary \u2014 and so any deal with it is meaningless. Mr. Trump is in charge today, but in three years he might not be. Personal rapport means nothing. To Mr. Putin, it is no longer possible to build a working relationship with America.Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter Get expert analysis of the news and a guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning. Get it sent to your inbox.Kremlin propagandists sense the honeymoon is coming to an end. They\u2019re still avoiding direct attacks on Mr. Trump, but they\u2019re going after those around him. Senator Lindsey Graham, in particular, has been singled out as a Russophobic extremist, especially after he suggested on social media that Mr. Putin should \u201ccall the Ayatollah\u201d to ask what would happen on Day 51 after Mr. Trump\u2019s first ultimatum. On a recent episode of the flagship political talk show on the state-owned Russia-1, the host shouted into the camera: \u201cWhat are you croaking about? You\u2019ll be destroyed along with your America, and no one will even remember your name.\u201dThis disdainful attitude has defined the response to Mr. Trump\u2019s latest salvo. The prospect of sanctions and tariffs on Russia and those who do business with it doesn\u2019t appear to frighten the Russian elite. Its members simply don\u2019t believe it will happen. Any real restrictions, they argue, would lead to a spike in global oil prices, and that would mean higher gasoline prices in the United States and significant political blowback. In the Kremlin\u2019s view, Mr. Trump would never risk that.Business leaders, too, think it\u2019s little more than a bluff. If America were to impose secondary sanctions on countries that continue to buy Russian oil and gas, the first targets would have to be China, India and Turkey. Mr. Trump has shown an appetite for trade wars, even with allies, and has promised to penalize India with extra tariffs. But would he really be willing to gravely jeopardize relations with India and Turkey just to punish Russia? And as for China, many believe the conflict with Washington has already reached a point where no further escalation is possible \u2014 America has no additional leverage left.It\u2019s telling that Mr. Putin has not responded directly to Mr. Trump\u2019s threats. Instead, Dmitri Medvedev, a former president and the deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council, leads the charge. \u201cEvery new ultimatum is a threat and a step toward war \u2014 not between Russia and Ukraine, but with your own country,\u201d he wrote on X, admonishing Mr. Trump. Once a serious politician, Mr. Medvedev is now mainly known for his inflammatory comments. It\u2019s his job to regularly threaten nuclear strikes, and he did so again last week, prompting Mr. Trump to announce that he had moved two nuclear submarines to \u201cbe positioned in the appropriate regions.\u201dThe Kremlin hasn\u2019t forgotten that Mr. Trump reportedly asked Volodymyr Zelensky whether Ukraine could strike Moscow or St. Petersburg. But Moscow is convinced that Westerners remain far more afraid of Russian nuclear threats than Russians are of hypothetical West-supported strikes. The reason is simple: In the West, public opinion would never accept the civilian casualties from an attack. In Russia, public opinion no longer matters; in fact, it hasn\u2019t existed in any real sense for years. That\u2019s why the Kremlin found it amusing when the White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, rushed to deny any possibility of U.S.-backed strikes on Moscow.This derisive attitude betrays how disconnected \u2014 and even delusional \u2014 Russia\u2019s ruling elite has become. The situation in Russia is far from stable. The country has been experiencing a near-continuous aviation crisis this summer as flights have been routinely disrupted by drone attacks. Major businesses are struggling under crushingly high interest rates. The Central Bank of Russia is forecasting scant economic growth, investment levels are low, and the country is expecting a poor harvest. All is not well.And yet Russia\u2019s rulers cling to the belief that nothing can harm them. After all, they reason, the country has spent the past three years learning how to live in isolation. It\u2019s possible they\u2019re right about Mr. Trump and that his bark is worse than his bite. But drunk on propaganda, oblivious to the risks ahead, they may soon find they are in for a nasty shock.Mikhail Zygar (@zygaro) is a former editor in chief of the independent news channel TV Rain and the author of \u201cWar and Punishment: Putin, Zelensky and the Path to Russia\u2019s Invasion of Ukraine\u201d and the newsletter The Last Pioneer.The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of letters to the editor. We\u2019d like to hear what you think about this or any of our articles. Here are some tips. And here\u2019s our email: letters@nytimes.com.Follow the New York Times Opinion section on Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, Bluesky, WhatsApp and Threads.A correction was made on\u00a0Aug. 5, 2025:\u00a0An earlier version of this article misstated the given name of the White House press secretary. She is Karoline Leavitt, not Christine.When we learn of a mistake, we acknowledge it with a correction. If you spot an error, please let us know at nytnews@nytimes.com.Learn moreA version of this article appears in print on Aug. 6, 2025, Section A, Page 23 of the New York edition with the headline: Why Russia Isn\u2019t Bothered by Washington\u2019s Threats. Order Reprints | Today\u2019s Paper | SubscribeRead 961 CommentsShare full articleRelated ContentAdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENT",
    "ai_headline": "Why Russia Isn\u2019t Bothered by Washington\u2019s Threats",
    "ai_simplified_title": "Putin Dismisses Trump Deadline on Ukraine War",
    "ai_excerpt": "Mikhail Zygar analyzes Russia's response to Trump's threats regarding the war in Ukraine, finding the Kremlin dismissive of sanctions and deadlines. Putin believes negotiating with the US is pointless, viewing any deal as temporary and meaningless.",
    "ai_subject_tags": [
        "Russia",
        "Ukraine",
        "Donald Trump",
        "Vladimir Putin",
        "Sanctions",
        "War",
        "International Relations",
        "Politics"
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    "ai_context_type": "Opinion",
    "ai_context_details": {
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