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    "original_url": "https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/09\/24\/weather\/noreaster-weekend-storm-nyc-boston-rain.html?emc=edit_na_20260924&nl=breaking-news&segment_id=227018",
    "parsed_content": "AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENTSupported bySKIP ADVERTISEMENTPowerful Fall Storm Is Strengthening as It Moves Up the East CoastRain, flooding and gusty winds are all in the forecast for the Northeast this weekend, but just how much is still a little uncertain.Listen \u00b7 5:51 min Share full article\n \n \n \n 5-day precipitation forecast 2 3 5 10+ in. No data Use Ctrl + scroll to zoom the mapUse two fingers to move the map Map showing precipitation data for the contiguous United States. Notes: Forecast from Sept. 24 at 8 p.m. Eastern to Sept. 29 at 8 p.m. Updated as of Sept. 24 at 3:20 p.m. Eastern. Values are shown only for the contiguous United States and are in inches of water or the equivalent amount of melted snow and ice. Source: National Weather Service The New York Times \n \n By Judson Jones and Nazaneen GhaffarWeather teamSept. 24, 2026Updated 2:36 p.m. ET\n \n \n See more of our coverage in your search results.Encuentra m\u00e1s de nuestra cobertura en los resultados de b\u00fasqueda. Add The New York Times on GoogleAgrega The New York Times en Google \n \n A potent storm that has threatened to upend weekend plans all along the East Coast was rapidly strengthening off the Carolina coast on Thursday. The storm is expected to deliver strong winds, coastal flooding and heavy rain as it moves through the Northeast this weekend.\n \n \n \n Precipitation intensity Very lightHeavyExtreme Thu. at 3:39 p.m. Use Ctrl + scroll to zoom the mapUse two fingers to move the map A map showing recent precipitation intensity in the United States. Note: Times are Eastern. Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration via Iowa State University William B. Davis, Joel Eastwood and Bea Malsky\/The New York Times \n \n Meteorologists have been watching this storm and weighing its potential effects for days, but its precise track was still in question on Thursday.\u201cIt\u2019s just the track and the exact position of how west or east it is,\u201d said Richard Bann, a meteorologist at the Weather Prediction Center. \u201cThat is the uncertainty still.\u201dThe storm\u2019s path and position will be crucial to determining where the greatest effects are felt. Mr. Bann explained that a track farther east would keep the heaviest rain and strongest winds farther offshore, while a storm moving closer to the coast could bring more substantial effects to more populated towns and cities farther inland. At least one major airline, United, has begun telling customers to keep a close eye on the shifting forecast.\u201cRight now, the closest that it looks to get is somewhere in the vicinity of Cape Cod,\u201d he said early Thursday. \u201cWith a lot of rain across southern New England, starting late Thursday into Friday and Saturday.\u201dA forecast track with this degree of uncertainty is not unusual \u2014 think of a snowstorm that is forecast to bring anywhere from two to 10 inches across a single county \u2014 but it poses a grueling challenge for local officials attempting to prepare. A few outlying computer models still show the storm coming ashore in New Jersey as early as Saturday, while other projections keep the system well out to sea through the weekend.As the storm bore down on Thursday morning, however, meteorologists had reached a consensus on the most probable trajectory tracking slowly along the coast.\n \n \n \n A soggy weekend ahead Select a city for the full forecast. Weather Saturday Sat.Sunday Sun.Monday Mon. Portland, Maine Chance of rain 45% 45% 30% Boston Chance of rain 55% 45% 30% New York Chance of rain 55% 15% Philadelphia Chance of rain 55% Washington Strong breeze 35% Updated Sept. 24 at 3:42 p.m. Eastern. Source: Tomorrow.io \n \n Here are the basicsCoastal flooding and erosion are the most certain threats, as the storm is developing during some of the highest tides of the month.Rainfall totals will depend largely on the storm\u2019s precise path. Coastal New England is the area most likely to experience what meteorologists call \u201cexcessive\u201d rain this weekend.High winds will linger across areas at the coast through the end of the week.More storms may follow: This is likely the first of several East Coast storms to follow this path over the next few months, driven by a developing El Ni\u00f1o weather pattern.The latest forecastAs of Thursday morning, the majority of the latest weather models were increasingly pointing to southern New England as the area most likely to see the storm\u2019s greatest impacts, particularly Connecticut, Rhode Island and eastern Massachusetts, including Boston and Cape Cod.If the most likely scenario holds, the storm is expected to make its closest approach to the East Coast from around Thursday night into Friday. Along with strong winds and coastal flooding, it is also expected to bring heavy rain, especially along the immediate coast in New England.This could change if the storm pivots west and makes a second approach near New York City.If the storm mostly hits in New England, forecasters at the Weather Prediction Center, an arm of the National Weather Service, were expecting between two to four inches of rain there through the weekend. Mr. Bann said those totals could still change depending on the storm\u2019s eventual track.Farther south, in New York City, some rain and gusty winds are expected but the impact is likely to be less severe, forecasters said.But rain isn\u2019t the only concern from this storm, or possibly even the biggest one.As it trudges north, strong winds, potentially gusting above 45 miles per hour, could drive seawater toward the coast, producing high waves and pushing the water inland. Waves up to 10 feet are possible along the immediate coast.Mr. Bann said that the combination of wind and high waters could lead to coastal flooding, high surf, rip currents and beach erosion anywhere from the Carolinas into New England through the weekend.The timing of the storm also adds to the threat of coastal flooding, as the storm is also coinciding with astronomical high tides, which could allow seawater to reach farther inland and worsen flooding in vulnerable coastal areas.On Thursday numerous coastal flood warnings and advisories were in effect, with the Weather Service identifying the Virginia coastline as a major risk for flooding.The storm is expected to gradually weaken on Sunday, but forecasters said it could still linger near New England into early next week.Is El Ni\u00f1o to blame?Indirectly.You might have heard about the powerful El Ni\u00f1o that has been brewing this year. El Ni\u00f1o is a natural weather pattern that peaks in the winter, but it doesn\u2019t, by itself, cause one storm to grow strong, or a heat wave to settle in.As the seasons change and El Ni\u00f1o becomes the dominant global weather pattern, it has a tendency in winter to create patterns that push storms like this across the southern United States and up the East Coast. Coastal towns between New York and Georgia routinely shatter high-tide flood records during El Ni\u00f1o years, not only during severe winter storms, but also on sunny days with no storm in sight.AdvertisementSKIP ADVERTISEMENT",
    "published_at": "2026-09-24T17:52:52+00:00",
    "author_name": "Judson Jones, Nazaneen Ghaffar",
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    "ai_headline": "Powerful Fall Storm Is Strengthening as It Moves Up the East Coast",
    "ai_simplified_title": "Noreaster Storm Strengthens, Threatens East Coast This Weekend",
    "ai_excerpt": "A potent fall storm is rapidly strengthening off the Carolina coast, threatening the Northeast with strong winds, coastal flooding, and heavy rain this weekend. Its precise track remains uncertain, but southern New England is most likely to see the greatest impacts.",
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