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- Claim Text
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But if the new maps are enacted in all of these states, Democrats will need to win the national popular vote by two or three percentage points to be favored to retake the House, according to projections based on recent congressional and presidential election results.
- Simplified Text
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New maps require Democrats to win popular vote by two or three points to retake House
- Confidence Score
- 0.800
- Claim Maker
- Nate Cohn
- Context Type
- News Article
- Context Details
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{ "date": "2025-08-31", "party": "Democratic", "topic": "Redistricting", "author": "Nate Cohn", "newsletter": "The Tilt" } - UUID
- 9fc890f9-a81b-4b37-a22e-d0e1bd0b49f8
- Vector Index
- ✗ No vector
- Created
- September 2, 2025 at 6:29 PM (1 week ago)
- Last Updated
- September 2, 2025 at 6:29 PM (1 week ago)
Original Sources for this Claim (1)
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1 week ago
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/31/upshot/redistricting-analysis-2026-midterms.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20250831&instance_id=161613&nl=the-morning®i_id=122976029&segment_id=204973&user_id=b25c5730c89e0c73f75709d8f1254337
Analysis of potential redistricting effects on the 2026 House elections. Republicans could gain up to seven seats, potentially requiring Democrats to win the popular vote by 2-3 points to win the House.
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